Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 72.64%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $394.69 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 72.64%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$394.69

IV

72.64%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 72.64% × √(7/365) ≈ 10.06%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$39.71.

The market expects MU to stay within ±10.06% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±10.06%

Exp. Move $

±$39.71

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$354.98 — $434.40

80% Confidence

$343.79 — $445.59

90% Confidence

$329.37 — $460.01

95% Confidence

$316.87 — $472.51

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 72.64% implies a ±10.06% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $354.98 to $434.40.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.