Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: META

META implied volatility is at 35.54%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

META is trading at $661.46 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 35.54%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$661.46

IV

35.54%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 35.54% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.92%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$32.54.

The market expects META to stay within ±4.92% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.92%

Exp. Move $

±$32.54

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$628.91 — $694.01

80% Confidence

$619.72 — $703.20

90% Confidence

$607.91 — $715.01

95% Confidence

$597.65 — $725.27

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 35.54% implies a ±4.92% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $628.91 to $694.01.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.