Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 28.80%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $79.03 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.80%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$79.03

IV

28.80%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.80% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.99%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$3.15.

The market expects KO to stay within ±3.99% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.99%

Exp. Move $

±$3.15

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$75.88 — $82.18

80% Confidence

$74.99 — $83.07

90% Confidence

$73.84 — $84.22

95% Confidence

$72.85 — $85.21

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.80% implies a ±3.99% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $75.88 to $82.18.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.