Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 20.79%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $30.50 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 20.79%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$30.50

IV

20.79%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 20.79% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.88%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$0.88.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±2.88% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.88%

Exp. Move $

±$0.88

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$29.62 — $31.38

80% Confidence

$29.37 — $31.63

90% Confidence

$29.06 — $31.94

95% Confidence

$28.78 — $32.22

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 20.79% implies a ±2.88% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $29.62 to $31.38.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.