Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 64.83%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $50.59 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 64.83%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$50.59

IV

64.83%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 64.83% × √(7/365) ≈ 8.98%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$4.54.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±8.98% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±8.98%

Exp. Move $

±$4.54

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$46.05 — $55.13

80% Confidence

$44.77 — $56.41

90% Confidence

$43.12 — $58.06

95% Confidence

$41.69 — $59.49

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 64.83% implies a ±8.98% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $46.05 to $55.13.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.