Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 34.25%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $322.86 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 34.25%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$322.86

IV

34.25%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 34.25% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.74%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$15.30.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.74% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.74%

Exp. Move $

±$15.30

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$307.55 — $338.17

80% Confidence

$303.23 — $342.49

90% Confidence

$297.67 — $348.05

95% Confidence

$292.85 — $352.87

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 34.25% implies a ±4.74% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $307.55 to $338.17.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.