Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 34.13%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $323.10 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 34.13%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$323.10

IV

34.13%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 34.13% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.73%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$15.28.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±4.73% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.73%

Exp. Move $

±$15.28

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$307.83 — $338.37

80% Confidence

$303.52 — $342.68

90% Confidence

$297.98 — $348.22

95% Confidence

$293.17 — $353.03

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 34.13% implies a ±4.73% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $307.83 to $338.37.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.