Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 32.87%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $122.69 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 32.87%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$122.69

IV

32.87%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 32.87% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.55%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$5.58.

The market expects C to stay within ±4.55% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.55%

Exp. Move $

±$5.58

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$117.11 — $128.27

80% Confidence

$115.53 — $129.85

90% Confidence

$113.50 — $131.88

95% Confidence

$111.74 — $133.64

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 32.87% implies a ±4.55% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $117.11 to $128.27.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.