Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: BA

BA implied volatility is at 29.97%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

BA is trading at $243.03 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.97%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$243.03

IV

29.97%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.97% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.15%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$10.09.

The market expects BA to stay within ±4.15% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.15%

Exp. Move $

±$10.09

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$232.94 — $253.12

80% Confidence

$230.10 — $255.96

90% Confidence

$226.43 — $259.63

95% Confidence

$223.26 — $262.80

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.97% implies a ±4.15% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $232.94 to $253.12.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.