Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 57.28%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $208.44 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 57.28%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 13, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 06, 2026

Target Date

Feb 13, 2026

Price

$208.44

IV

57.28%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 57.28% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.93%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$16.53.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±7.93% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.93%

Exp. Move $

±$16.53

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$191.91 — $224.97

80% Confidence

$187.24 — $229.64

90% Confidence

$181.24 — $235.64

95% Confidence

$176.03 — $240.85

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 57.28% implies a ±7.93% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $191.91 to $224.97.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.