Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: RKLB

RKLB implied volatility is at 87.64%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

RKLB is trading at $80.07 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 87.64%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$80.07

IV

87.64%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 87.64% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.14%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$9.72.

The market expects RKLB to stay within ±12.14% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±12.14%

Exp. Move $

±$9.72

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$70.35 — $89.79

80% Confidence

$67.61 — $92.53

90% Confidence

$64.08 — $96.06

95% Confidence

$61.02 — $99.12

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 87.64% implies a ±12.14% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $70.35 to $89.79.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.