Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 93.80%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $146.59 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 93.80%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$146.59

IV

93.80%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 93.80% × √(7/365) ≈ 12.99%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$19.04.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±12.99% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±12.99%

Exp. Move $

±$19.04

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$127.55 — $165.63

80% Confidence

$122.18 — $171.00

90% Confidence

$115.27 — $177.91

95% Confidence

$109.27 — $183.91

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 93.80% implies a ±12.99% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $127.55 to $165.63.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.