Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 72.73%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $414.88 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 72.73%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$414.88

IV

72.73%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 72.73% × √(7/365) ≈ 10.07%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$41.78.

The market expects MU to stay within ±10.07% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±10.07%

Exp. Move $

±$41.78

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$373.09 — $456.67

80% Confidence

$361.31 — $468.45

90% Confidence

$346.14 — $483.62

95% Confidence

$332.97 — $496.79

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 72.73% implies a ±10.07% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $373.09 to $456.67.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.