Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 21.84%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $74.81 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 21.84%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$74.81

IV

21.84%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 21.84% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.02%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$2.26.

The market expects KO to stay within ±3.02% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.02%

Exp. Move $

±$2.26

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$72.55 — $77.07

80% Confidence

$71.91 — $77.71

90% Confidence

$71.09 — $78.53

95% Confidence

$70.38 — $79.24

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 21.84% implies a ±3.02% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $72.55 to $77.07.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.