Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 28.60%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $30.49 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.60%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$30.49

IV

28.60%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.60% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.96%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.21.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.96% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.96%

Exp. Move $

±$1.21

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$29.28 — $31.70

80% Confidence

$28.94 — $32.04

90% Confidence

$28.50 — $32.48

95% Confidence

$28.12 — $32.86

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.60% implies a ±3.96% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $29.28 to $31.70.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.