Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 61.81%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $46.47 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 61.81%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$46.47

IV

61.81%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 61.81% × √(7/365) ≈ 8.56%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$3.98.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±8.56% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±8.56%

Exp. Move $

±$3.98

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$42.49 — $50.45

80% Confidence

$41.37 — $51.57

90% Confidence

$39.93 — $53.01

95% Confidence

$38.67 — $54.27

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 61.81% implies a ±8.56% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $42.49 to $50.45.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.