Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 56.57%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $338.00 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 56.57%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$338.00

IV

56.57%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 56.57% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.83%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$26.47.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±7.83% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.83%

Exp. Move $

±$26.47

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$311.52 — $364.48

80% Confidence

$304.05 — $371.95

90% Confidence

$294.44 — $381.56

95% Confidence

$286.10 — $389.90

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 56.57% implies a ±7.83% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $311.52 to $364.48.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.