Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 55.18%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $338.53 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 55.18%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$338.53

IV

55.18%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 55.18% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.64%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$25.86.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±7.64% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.64%

Exp. Move $

±$25.86

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$312.66 — $364.40

80% Confidence

$305.37 — $371.69

90% Confidence

$295.98 — $381.08

95% Confidence

$287.83 — $389.23

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 55.18% implies a ±7.64% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $312.66 to $364.40.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.