Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 28.44%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $115.71 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.44%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$115.71

IV

28.44%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.44% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.94%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$4.56.

The market expects C to stay within ±3.94% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.94%

Exp. Move $

±$4.56

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$111.15 — $120.27

80% Confidence

$109.87 — $121.55

90% Confidence

$108.21 — $123.21

95% Confidence

$106.78 — $124.64

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.44% implies a ±3.94% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $111.15 to $120.27.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.