Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: BA

BA implied volatility is at 30.02%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

BA is trading at $233.72 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 30.02%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$233.72

IV

30.02%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 30.02% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.16%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$9.72.

The market expects BA to stay within ±4.16% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.16%

Exp. Move $

±$9.72

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$224.00 — $243.44

80% Confidence

$221.26 — $246.18

90% Confidence

$217.73 — $249.71

95% Confidence

$214.67 — $252.77

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 30.02% implies a ±4.16% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $224.00 to $243.44.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.