Volatility Analysis
Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO
AVGO implied volatility is at 50.75%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.
Market Context
AVGO is trading at $331.30 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 50.75%.
With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.
Analysis Date
Jan 30, 2026
Target Date
Feb 06, 2026
Price
$331.30
IV
50.75%
Volatility Math (7 Days)
To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.
Formula: 50.75% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.03%.
In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$23.29.
Time Factor
0.1385
Exp. Move %
±7.03%
Exp. Move $
±$23.29
Probability Cone
The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.
68% Confidence
$308.01 — $354.59
80% Confidence
$301.45 — $361.15
90% Confidence
$292.99 — $369.61
95% Confidence
$285.66 — $376.94
Disclaimer
This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.
Key takeaways
- Current IV of 50.75% implies a ±7.03% move in 7 days.
- The 68% confidence interval is $308.01 to $354.59.
- Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.