Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 80.41%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $236.73 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 80.41%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 06, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 30, 2026

Target Date

Feb 06, 2026

Price

$236.73

IV

80.41%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 80.41% × √(7/365) ≈ 11.14%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$26.37.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±11.14% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±11.14%

Exp. Move $

±$26.37

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$210.37 — $263.09

80% Confidence

$202.93 — $270.53

90% Confidence

$193.36 — $280.10

95% Confidence

$185.06 — $288.40

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 80.41% implies a ±11.14% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $210.37 to $263.09.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.