Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 43.51%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $169.60 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 43.51%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$169.60

IV

43.51%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 43.51% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.03%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$10.23.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±6.03% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.03%

Exp. Move $

±$10.23

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$159.38 — $179.82

80% Confidence

$156.50 — $182.70

90% Confidence

$152.79 — $186.41

95% Confidence

$149.57 — $189.63

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 43.51% implies a ±6.03% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $159.38 to $179.82.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.