Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 70.82%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $399.65 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 70.82%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$399.65

IV

70.82%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 70.82% × √(7/365) ≈ 9.81%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$39.21.

The market expects MU to stay within ±9.81% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±9.81%

Exp. Move $

±$39.21

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$360.46 — $438.84

80% Confidence

$349.40 — $449.90

90% Confidence

$335.18 — $464.12

95% Confidence

$322.83 — $476.47

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 70.82% implies a ±9.81% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $360.46 to $438.84.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.