Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 15.29%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $72.88 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 15.29%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$72.88

IV

15.29%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 15.29% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.12%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.55.

The market expects KO to stay within ±2.12% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.12%

Exp. Move $

±$1.55

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$71.34 — $74.42

80% Confidence

$70.90 — $74.86

90% Confidence

$70.34 — $75.42

95% Confidence

$69.86 — $75.90

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 15.29% implies a ±2.12% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $71.34 to $74.42.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.