Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 18.64%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $29.57 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 18.64%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$29.57

IV

18.64%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 18.64% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.58%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$0.76.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±2.58% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.58%

Exp. Move $

±$0.76

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$28.81 — $30.33

80% Confidence

$28.59 — $30.55

90% Confidence

$28.31 — $30.83

95% Confidence

$28.07 — $31.07

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 18.64% implies a ±2.58% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $28.81 to $30.33.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.