Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 29.22%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $327.93 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 29.22%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$327.93

IV

29.22%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 29.22% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.05%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$13.28.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±4.05% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.05%

Exp. Move $

±$13.28

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$314.66 — $341.20

80% Confidence

$310.92 — $344.94

90% Confidence

$306.10 — $349.76

95% Confidence

$301.92 — $353.94

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 29.22% implies a ±4.05% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $314.66 to $341.20.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.