Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 28.84%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $328.43 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.84%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$328.43

IV

28.84%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.84% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.99%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$13.10.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±3.99% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.99%

Exp. Move $

±$13.10

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$315.31 — $341.55

80% Confidence

$311.61 — $345.25

90% Confidence

$306.85 — $350.01

95% Confidence

$302.72 — $354.14

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.84% implies a ±3.99% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $315.31 to $341.55.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.