Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 28.48%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $113.59 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.48%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$113.59

IV

28.48%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.48% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.94%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$4.48.

The market expects C to stay within ±3.94% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.94%

Exp. Move $

±$4.48

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$109.11 — $118.07

80% Confidence

$107.85 — $119.33

90% Confidence

$106.22 — $120.96

95% Confidence

$104.81 — $122.37

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.48% implies a ±3.94% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $109.11 to $118.07.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.