Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: BA

BA implied volatility is at 45.10%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

BA is trading at $252.15 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 45.10%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$252.15

IV

45.10%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 45.10% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.25%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$15.76.

The market expects BA to stay within ±6.25% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.25%

Exp. Move $

±$15.76

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$236.40 — $267.90

80% Confidence

$231.96 — $272.34

90% Confidence

$226.25 — $278.05

95% Confidence

$221.29 — $283.01

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 45.10% implies a ±6.25% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $236.40 to $267.90.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.