Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 47.30%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $320.05 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 47.30%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$320.05

IV

47.30%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 47.30% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.55%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$20.96.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±6.55% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.55%

Exp. Move $

±$20.96

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$299.08 — $341.02

80% Confidence

$293.17 — $346.93

90% Confidence

$285.56 — $354.54

95% Confidence

$278.96 — $361.14

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 47.30% implies a ±6.55% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $299.08 to $341.02.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.