Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 54.79%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $259.68 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 54.79%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 30, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 23, 2026

Target Date

Jan 30, 2026

Price

$259.68

IV

54.79%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 54.79% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.59%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$19.71.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±7.59% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.59%

Exp. Move $

±$19.71

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$239.98 — $279.38

80% Confidence

$234.42 — $284.94

90% Confidence

$227.27 — $292.09

95% Confidence

$221.06 — $298.30

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 54.79% implies a ±7.59% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $239.98 to $279.38.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.