Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: PLTR

PLTR implied volatility is at 44.06%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

PLTR is trading at $170.96 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 44.06%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$170.96

IV

44.06%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 44.06% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.10%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$10.43.

The market expects PLTR to stay within ±6.10% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.10%

Exp. Move $

±$10.43

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$160.53 — $181.39

80% Confidence

$157.59 — $184.33

90% Confidence

$153.80 — $188.12

95% Confidence

$150.51 — $191.41

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 44.06% implies a ±6.10% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $160.53 to $181.39.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.