Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 50.27%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $362.75 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 50.27%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$362.75

IV

50.27%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 50.27% × √(7/365) ≈ 6.96%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$25.25.

The market expects MU to stay within ±6.96% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±6.96%

Exp. Move $

±$25.25

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$337.50 — $388.00

80% Confidence

$330.38 — $395.12

90% Confidence

$321.21 — $404.29

95% Confidence

$313.26 — $412.24

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 50.27% implies a ±6.96% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $337.50 to $388.00.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.