Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 18.07%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $70.44 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 18.07%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$70.44

IV

18.07%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 18.07% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.50%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.76.

The market expects KO to stay within ±2.50% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.50%

Exp. Move $

±$1.76

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$68.68 — $72.20

80% Confidence

$68.18 — $72.70

90% Confidence

$67.54 — $73.34

95% Confidence

$66.98 — $73.90

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 18.07% implies a ±2.50% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $68.68 to $72.20.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.