Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 28.61%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $27.96 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 28.61%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$27.96

IV

28.61%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 28.61% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.96%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$1.11.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.96% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.96%

Exp. Move $

±$1.11

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$26.85 — $29.07

80% Confidence

$26.54 — $29.38

90% Confidence

$26.14 — $29.78

95% Confidence

$25.79 — $30.13

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 28.61% implies a ±3.96% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $26.85 to $29.07.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.