Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 79.10%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $46.96 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 79.10%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$46.96

IV

79.10%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 79.10% × √(7/365) ≈ 10.95%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$5.14.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±10.95% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±10.95%

Exp. Move $

±$5.14

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$41.82 — $52.10

80% Confidence

$40.37 — $53.55

90% Confidence

$38.50 — $55.42

95% Confidence

$36.88 — $57.04

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 79.10% implies a ±10.95% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $41.82 to $52.10.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.