Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 25.35%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $330.00 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 25.35%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$330.00

IV

25.35%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 25.35% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.51%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.58.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±3.51% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.51%

Exp. Move $

±$11.58

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$318.41 — $341.59

80% Confidence

$315.15 — $344.85

90% Confidence

$310.94 — $349.06

95% Confidence

$307.29 — $352.71

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 25.35% implies a ±3.51% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $318.41 to $341.59.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.