Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 24.79%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $330.34 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 24.79%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$330.34

IV

24.79%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 24.79% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.43%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.33.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±3.43% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.43%

Exp. Move $

±$11.33

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$319.00 — $341.68

80% Confidence

$315.80 — $344.88

90% Confidence

$311.69 — $348.99

95% Confidence

$308.11 — $352.57

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 24.79% implies a ±3.43% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $319.00 to $341.68.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.