Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 25.74%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $118.04 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 25.74%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$118.04

IV

25.74%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 25.74% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.57%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$4.21.

The market expects C to stay within ±3.57% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.57%

Exp. Move $

±$4.21

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$113.83 — $122.25

80% Confidence

$112.64 — $123.44

90% Confidence

$111.12 — $124.96

95% Confidence

$109.79 — $126.29

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 25.74% implies a ±3.57% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $113.83 to $122.25.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.