Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 38.11%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $351.71 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 38.11%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$351.71

IV

38.11%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 38.11% × √(7/365) ≈ 5.28%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$18.57.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±5.28% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±5.28%

Exp. Move $

±$18.57

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$333.15 — $370.27

80% Confidence

$327.92 — $375.50

90% Confidence

$321.18 — $382.24

95% Confidence

$315.33 — $388.09

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 38.11% implies a ±5.28% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $333.15 to $370.27.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.