Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AMD

AMD implied volatility is at 30.00%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AMD is trading at $231.83 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 30.00%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 23, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 16, 2026

Target Date

Jan 23, 2026

Price

$231.83

IV

30.00%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 30.00% × √(7/365) ≈ 4.15%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$9.62.

The market expects AMD to stay within ±4.15% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±4.15%

Exp. Move $

±$9.62

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$222.20 — $241.46

80% Confidence

$219.48 — $244.18

90% Confidence

$215.99 — $247.67

95% Confidence

$212.95 — $250.71

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 30.00% implies a ±4.15% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $222.20 to $241.46.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.