Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: MU

MU implied volatility is at 54.24%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

MU is trading at $345.09 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 54.24%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$345.09

IV

54.24%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 54.24% × √(7/365) ≈ 7.51%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$25.92.

The market expects MU to stay within ±7.51% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±7.51%

Exp. Move $

±$25.92

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$319.17 — $371.01

80% Confidence

$311.86 — $378.32

90% Confidence

$302.45 — $387.73

95% Confidence

$294.28 — $395.90

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 54.24% implies a ±7.51% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $319.17 to $371.01.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.