Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KMI

KMI implied volatility is at 23.24%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KMI is trading at $27.12 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 23.24%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$27.12

IV

23.24%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 23.24% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.22%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$0.87.

The market expects KMI to stay within ±3.22% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.22%

Exp. Move $

±$0.87

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$26.25 — $27.99

80% Confidence

$26.00 — $28.24

90% Confidence

$25.68 — $28.56

95% Confidence

$25.41 — $28.83

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 23.24% implies a ±3.22% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $26.25 to $27.99.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.