Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 60.88%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $45.55 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 60.88%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$45.55

IV

60.88%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 60.88% × √(7/365) ≈ 8.43%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$3.84.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±8.43% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±8.43%

Exp. Move $

±$3.84

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$41.71 — $49.39

80% Confidence

$40.63 — $50.47

90% Confidence

$39.23 — $51.87

95% Confidence

$38.02 — $53.08

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 60.88% implies a ±8.43% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $41.71 to $49.39.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.