Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOGL

GOOGL implied volatility is at 25.88%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOGL is trading at $328.57 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 25.88%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$328.57

IV

25.88%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 25.88% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.58%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.76.

The market expects GOOGL to stay within ±3.58% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.58%

Exp. Move $

±$11.76

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$316.80 — $340.34

80% Confidence

$313.47 — $343.67

90% Confidence

$309.20 — $347.94

95% Confidence

$305.49 — $351.65

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 25.88% implies a ±3.58% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $316.80 to $340.34.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.