Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: GOOG

GOOG implied volatility is at 25.05%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

GOOG is trading at $329.14 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 25.05%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$329.14

IV

25.05%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 25.05% × √(7/365) ≈ 3.47%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$11.42.

The market expects GOOG to stay within ±3.47% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±3.47%

Exp. Move $

±$11.42

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$317.72 — $340.56

80% Confidence

$314.50 — $343.78

90% Confidence

$310.36 — $347.92

95% Confidence

$306.76 — $351.52

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 25.05% implies a ±3.47% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $317.72 to $340.56.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.