Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: C

C implied volatility is at 41.65%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

C is trading at $121.32 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 41.65%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$121.32

IV

41.65%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 41.65% × √(7/365) ≈ 5.77%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$7.00.

The market expects C to stay within ±5.77% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±5.77%

Exp. Move $

±$7.00

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$114.32 — $128.32

80% Confidence

$112.35 — $130.29

90% Confidence

$109.81 — $132.83

95% Confidence

$107.60 — $135.04

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 41.65% implies a ±5.77% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $114.32 to $128.32.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.