Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: AVGO

AVGO implied volatility is at 39.95%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

AVGO is trading at $344.97 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 39.95%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Jan 16, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Jan 9, 2026

Target Date

Jan 16, 2026

Price

$344.97

IV

39.95%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 39.95% × √(7/365) ≈ 5.53%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$19.08.

The market expects AVGO to stay within ±5.53% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±5.53%

Exp. Move $

±$19.08

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$325.89 — $364.05

80% Confidence

$320.50 — $369.44

90% Confidence

$313.58 — $376.36

95% Confidence

$307.56 — $382.38

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 39.95% implies a ±5.53% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $325.89 to $364.05.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.